5G gradually approaches, opening the door to the trillion market

The 5G standard consists of many technologies, and coding is a very basic technology. Among the 5G related standards, the world's major camps once argued fiercely about channel coding standards. In 2016, Polar, which is promoted by Chinese telecommunications companies, became the control channel coding. This is China's first breakthrough in the field of channel coding, laying the foundation for China to strive for more voice in the 5G standard than in the past. From this perspective, China can be said to have reached the forefront of the world to a certain extent.

5G gradually approaches, opening the door to the trillion market

According to the “5G Industry Development Prospect Forecast and Industry Chain Investment Opportunity Analysis Report” released by the Prospective Industry Research Institute, according to the official commercialization of 5G in 2020, it is expected that the direct output of about 484 billion yuan will be driven and 12,000 will be launched that year. Indirect output of 100 million yuan, the direct output and indirect output driven by 5G will reach 6.3 trillion and 10.6 trillion yuan respectively by 2030, and the average annual compound growth rate is 29% and 24% respectively. . From the perspective of output structure, in the early stage of 5G commercialization, the equipment manufacturer's revenue brought by network equipment investment will become the main source of 5G direct economic output. It is estimated that in 2020, the total revenue of network equipment and terminal equipment will be about 450 billion yuan, accounting for direct 94% of total economic output.

5G future economic output (trillion yuan)

5G gradually approaches, opening the door to the trillion market

Source of data: public information, prospective industry research institute

5G independent networking standards are expected to be released next month

At this 3GPP Busan conference, all working groups developing 5G wireless technologies will be aggregated at this conference to finalize the relevant standard technologies for 5G RAN commercialization.

At the conference, about 1,500 standard experts from chipset, mobile phone and equipment suppliers and mobile operators will attend the conference to complete the 5G first phase standard. These include 5G wireless access technology that provides ultra-high-speed data and ultra-low latency, and a conformance test method for 5G terminals. To put it simply, after the end of the Busan meeting, the independent networking standards in the first phase of 5G have been released soon.

A number of Chinese companies, including Huawei, OPPO, VIVO and other communication equipment and mobile phone manufacturers, also discussed and submitted proposals. According to Yang Chaobin, president of Huawei's 5G product line, according to the plan, the standard technology for 5G independent networking (SA) will be completed. After the review and approval, it will be officially announced at the US Plenary next month. Huawei has also prepared a proposal. After the standard is determined, equipment companies can be commercialized with standards-based equipment.

Previously, 3GPP determined that 5G standardization was divided into two phases: the first phase started R15 as the 5G standard and was completed in June 2018; the second phase started R16 as the 5G standard, which was completed in December 2019. The 5G Phase 1 standard will be finalized at the 3GPP meeting in the United States next month.

How many 5G industry standards are there?

Non-independent networking, in simple terms, is not a separate 5G network, and should be integrated with other things, such as 4G or even 3G networking; and 5G independent networking means that there is no 4G at all, the complete 5G is established. The internet.

In the non-independent networking, what is 5G doing? 5G is used as a supplement. The big network is 4G, but in some hotspots, such as the Olympic Games, CBD, etc., these local areas increase the network speed and user perception and experience through 5G hotspots, but the entire large-scale network still Not using 5G. In contrast, 5G independent networking means that the entire network is completely covered with 5G.

The establishment of independent networking standards means that the deployment standard of 5G entire network has been perfected. The non-independent networking focuses on hotspots and solves the problem of small-area local hotspot coverage. Now under the independent networking standard, 5G The comprehensive network coverage problem can be solved. Therefore, the establishment of this standard is very important. It can be considered that the 5G standard is further improved and improved.

5G industry standards established

According to the 5G network standard development process previously published by 3GPP, the 5G entire network standard is completed in several stages. In the R15 phase, it is expected that by June 2018, the 5G standard (SA) of independent networking will be completed, supporting enhanced mobile broadband and low latency high reliability Internet of Things to complete the network interface protocol. In the R16 phase, it is expected that in December 2019, a complete 5G standard meeting all the requirements of the ITU (International Telecommunication Union) will be completed. The entire 5G standard was fully adopted at the ITU meeting and is expected to be completed by 2020.

In fact, all manufacturers have already begun to lay out 5G and apply for corresponding patents. ZTE said that in the 5G field, ZTE has accumulated more than 1,500 patent applications and has repeatedly achieved technological breakthroughs. The first Pre5G Massive MIMO base station has been commercialized in China and Japan.

Samsung said that Samsung is in a leading position in 5G. As of this month, with 1,054 patents, Samsung Electronics ranked first in the list of 3GPP member companies that filed 5G standard patents with the European Telecommunications Standardization Organization (ETSI). Huawei released the first 3GPP standard 5G commercial chip and terminal at the beginning of the year, and implemented multiple 5G deployments at home and abroad.

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